The WNBA has a pair of games on the Monday night schedule. Both games tip off at 10 p.m. ET, with the Connecticut Sun and Phoenix Mercury battling at Footprint Center in Arizona, and that game can be streamed on WNBA’s League Pass. The Dallas Wings and Seattle Storm also meet at Climate Pledge Arena, with the game available to be viewed or streamed on NBA TV.
Let’s build that bankroll for the regular season with our best WNBA picks for Monday, July 1.
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Monday’s Best WNBA Picks
WNBA odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook | All WNBA picks are for 1 unit
Dallas Wings (+520) at Seattle Storm (-750) | O/U 168.5 (-110/-110)
Things haven’t exactly gone according to plan for the Wings (4-14) this season, especially lately. In fact, Dallas was a respectable 3-2 straight-up (SU) after the first five games. However, since May 31, the Wings have won just once, a surprising 94-88 win over the Minnesota Lynx on June 27 as a 9-point underdog, while losing 12 times.
While the Wings aren’t winning, they’re also not covering. Dallas is 2-10 against the spread (ATS) in the past 12 games. These teams met Saturday, and the Storm (12-6) picked up a 97-76 win as an 11-point favorite as the Over (168.5) connected.
Dallas shot 45.7% (32-of-70) from the field while hitting 33.3% (6-of-18) from behind the 3-point line. The Wings were awful at the charity stripe, managing just a 42.9% (6-of-14) mark, while turning it over 18 times with just 18 assists. On the flip side, Seattle hit 49.2% (32-of-65) from the field, 29.4% (5-of-17) from beyond the arc, while hitting 93.3% (28-of-30) from the free-throw line. There’s your difference. Seattle turned it over just 14 times, too, while posting a plus-3 rebounding margin.
Jewell Loyd paced the Storm with 30 points, including two 3-pointers while hitting 16-of-17 from the free-throw line. In addition, Jordan Horston was good for 12 points with 11 rebounds for the team’s only double-double. All five starters were good for at least 11 points, while all by Skylar Diggins-Smith had five or more boards.
On the flip side, Seattle has registered three straight wins and covers, while going a respectable 5-2 SU/ATS in the past seven games, 11-3 SU in the past 14 outings, and 10-3 ATS in the previous 13 contests. That includes the win and cover Saturday against Dallas, and the 92-84 win in the Metroplex against the Wings on June 13, covering a 6.5-point favorite as the Over (160) also cashed.
The best play is going with the Storm while hitting the Over. Seattle has covered the past seven games when favored by five or more points, including 2-0 ATS in two games as a double-digit favorite this season.
WNBA Picks: Storm -11.5 (-112), Over 168.5 Total Points (-110)
Connecticut Sun (-148) at Phoenix Mercury (+120) | O/U 159.5 (-112/-108)
The Sun (13-4) travel to meet the Mercury (8-8) on Monday night in the Valley of the Sun. Connecticut is hopeful it can get back on track, as it is just 1-3 SU in the past four games while failing to cover each of the past five outings.
Connecticut is coming off a stunning 78-74 loss at home to the Atlanta Dream, losing as a 10-point favorite. It nearly lost on the road at Washington prior to that, hanging on 94-91 in overtime as an 11-point favorite.
These teams met May 28 at the Mohegan Sun Arena in Uncasville, Conn., with the Sun belting the Mercury 70-47 as an 8-point favorite as the Under (168) was never challenged. However, a lot has changed since then.
Phoenix has managed a respectable 5-3 SU, while going 6-2 ATS in that span since June 7. The Under has cashed in the past three games while going 9-4 in the past 13 outings. The Mercury were on the short end of an 88-82 score against Caitlin Clark and the Indiana Fever, losing outright as an 8-point favorite last time out on Sunday.
As such, the Mercury are playing in a back-to-back situation, too. In Phoenix’s only previous back-to-back, it lost 81-78 at New York, but it covered as a 14-point underdog as the Under (172.5) cashed.
The Sun are struggling, but they are 6-2 SU in eight games on the road while going 3-3 ATS in the past six games away from home. The Over/Under has split 4-4 in eight road games for Connecticut.
The best play on the board here is to take Connecticut straight up on the moneyline, as it is a better team than Phoenix, but it might be a very, very close game, so don’t bother with laying the points. Also, we’ll lean low on the total, which cashed in the first meeting, while also hitting in the only previous game Phoenix played on no rest.
WNBA Picks: Sun Moneyline (-148), Under 159.5 Total Points (-108)
Daniel E. Dobish is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Daniel, check out his archive and follow him @danieledobish.
