The WNBA has two games scheduled on Thursday, July 4th. To begin the holiday doubleheader, the Connecticut Sun and Minnesota Lynx have an 8 p.m. tip-off at Target Center in Minneapolis, and the game can be streamed on Amazon’s Prime Video. In addition, the Washington Mystics and Las Vegas Aces meet at 10 p.m. ET, also on Prime Video.
Below are two WNBA Same Game Parlays for tonight’s matchups. Let’s get started.
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Thursday’s Best WNBA Same Game Parlay Bets
(WNBA player prop bet odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook)
Connecticut Sun at Minnesota Lynx
- Leg 1: Minnesota Lynx Moneyline (-154)
- Leg 2: Under 152.5 Total Points (-112)
- Leg 3: Napheesa Collier Over 19.5 Points (-122)
The Sun (15-4) and Lynx (14-5) hook up in a marquee battle at Target Center in Minneapolis on Thursday night. This is a rematch of a very good battle at Mohegan Sun Arena in Uncasville, Conn. back on May 23, which saw Connecticut hang on for an 83-82 overtime victory, although Minnesota cashed as a 5.5-point underdog. The Over (162) ended up cashing thanks to the game not being decided in regulation.
Minnesota ended up shooting 48.5% (33-of-68) from the field in that OT loss, but it was just 19.0% (4-of-21) from behind the 3-point line and only 60.0% (12-of-20) from the free throw line. Minnesota actually was a plus-3 on rebounds, plus-6 in assists, plus-3 on blocked shots, and plus-1 on steals, but Connecticut was much more efficient from the charity stripe at 85.7% (18-of-21), and that was the biggest difference.
Napheesa Collier ended up with 31 points, 11 rebounds, four assists, four steals, and two blocked shots in 44 minutes, and she was one of four Lynx starters to go for 10 or more points. For Connecticut, it had three players, all starters, go for 18 or more points. DeWanna Bonner ended up with 20 points, while Brionna Jones had 19 points, and Alyssa Thomas finished with 18 points.
The Lynx have had a little bit of a hangover since winning the Commissioner’s Cup in New York on June 25, going just 1-2 straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) in the past three outings, all on the road. However, Minnesota has won seven in a row on its home floor, while going 5-2 ATS in the span. The Under is 4-1-1 in the past six games at Target Center for the Lynx while going 4-1 in the past five regular-season games, not including the Commissioner’s Cup Final.
The Sun have lost four games for the entirety of the season, but three of those setbacks have occurred in the past five games just since June 21. While Connecticut won 83-72 at Connecticut as a 4.5-point favorite last time out as the Under (157) cashed, the Sun is just 1-5 ATS in the past six games.
It’s a good idea to back the Lynx on the moneyline and avoid messing around with the points. And while the Over cashed in the first meeting, it also went to overtime. Connecticut ranks No. 1 in scoring defense, allowing just 73.1 points (PPG), while it is 2nd in the W with a 29.3% defensive 3-pointer percentage. Minnesota ranks 2nd in the league with just 74.4 PPG allowed, while ranking No. 1 in defensive field-goal percentage (39.1%) and defensive 3-pointer percentage (27.9%).
Going back to Collier, she dropped 31 points on the Sun in the first meeting, unfazed by their sturdy defense. She is averaging 20.6 points, 10.4 rebounds, 3.8 assists and 2.2 steals. She is a good bet to get to at least 20 points on the player props section.
WNBA Same Game Parlay Odds: +417
Washington Mystics at Las Vegas Aces
- Leg 1: Washington Mystics +16 (-112)
- Leg 2: Under 170.5 Total Points (-110)
- Leg 3: A’ja Wilson Under 26.5 Points (-108)
In the nightcap, the Mystics (5-15) and the Aces (11-6) do battle on The Strip at Mandalay Bay Resort & Casino. These teams met in the nation’s capital on June 29, with the Aces coming away with an 88-77 win, although the Mystics covered as a 13-point underdog as the Under (174.5) cashed.
Washington ended up shooting 43.1% (28-of-65) in the first meeting while going an outstanding 45.8% (11-of-24) from behind the arc, and 10-of-11 (90.9%) from the free throw line. They were able to do so without Shakira Austin (hip), Karlie Samuelsson (hand), and Brittney Sykes (foot) all on the shelf. Samuelsson is dealing with a fractured hand, so she is out indefinitely, while Sykes is expected to sit through the Olympic break.
The Aces shot 47.6% (30-of-63) from the field, and 36.0% (9-of-25) from behind the 3-point line, while hitting 79.2% (19-of-24) from the charity stripe. A’ja Wilson struggled against the Mystics, hitting just 4-of-15 from the field, ending up with 11 points, but Jackie Young (26 points) and Chelsea Gray (22 points) picked up the slack, while Tiffany Hayes went for 17 points off the bench.
Las Vegas was missing Kierstan Bell (right lower leg) for that win in D.C., but she plays sparingly, even when healthy. The Aces have no major injuries to report.
The Mystics have cashed the Under in the past two games, including the game against the Aces, but the Over is 7-3 in the past 10 games. For the Aces, the total has gone low in three of the past four games, as the defense has locked it down lately, allowing 77 or fewer points in three of the previous four outings.
Washington catching 16 points is an awful lot of points, and worth playing in conjunction with the Under. And while Wilson is unlikely to have another 4-of-15 stinker, her target score of 26.5 points is awfully high given her recent performances. She is averaging 27.0 points per game, but she has 27 or fewer points in four of the past six games, including the season-low 11-point showing in D.C. Go low, and hold your breath.
WNBA Same Game Parlay Odds: +414
Daniel E. Dobish is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Daniel, check out his archive and follow him @danieledobish.
